It’s almost time for People‘s Sexiest Man Alive issue. Every year, I try to guess who it will be.

The winner always falls into one of the following categories:

1) Breakout year: huge movie, incredible performance, hot newcomer to the scene

2) In the news a lot, usually in regard to his personal life

3) A prominent guy, with a solid if not spectacular year, who happens to be hot

Examples of #1: George Clooney ’06 (the year he won his Oscar for Syriana and was Oscar-nominated for Good Night and Good Luck), Johnny Depp ’03 (the year of Pirates of the Caribbean), Brad Pitt ’95 (the year of Legends of the Fall and Interview with the Vampire) , Patrick Swayze ’91 (the year of Ghost)

Examples of #2: Ben Affleck ’02 (during all that Bennifer madness), Brad Pitt ’00 (the year he married Jennifer Aniston)

Examples of #3: Matthew McConaughey ’05, Jude Law ’04, Pierce Brosnan ’01, Richard Gere ’99, Harrison Ford ’98, George Clooney ’97, Denzel Washington ’96

Missteps often happen. I swore up and down that Jake Gyllenhaal was going to win in 2005, right before Brokeback Mountain came out. He was the tiny picture next to Matthew McConaughey on the cover instead.

Also, I thought that Patrick Dempsey was going to win last year, since it seemed like every woman was crazy about him — but no, went to George. He was the little picture on the cover. (Unlike 99% of American women, I have yet to see an episode of Grey’s Anatomy.)

Will they win this year? Let’s add them to the current list of men being profiled in the Sexiest Man Alive section on People.com:

Patrick Dempsey: He was already on a cover this year with his twins, and Grey’s Anatomy isn’t doing very well this year, so if they choose him, it’s a tired, predictable choice. I predict no.

Shia LaBeouf: A breakout star, but far too young.

Taye Diggs: Very sexy, and on a new hit TV show, but not nearly prominent enough.

Tom Cruise: Too crazy.

Johnny Depp: Won in 2003 — too recent.

Zac Efron: NO. The key word is “man.”

Matt Damon: Not a big year for him, but he’s next in line after Ocean’s costars Brad and George.

Terrence Howard: BABY WIPES! People loves him, but I can’t stand his personality. I hope not — he doesn’t seem to be well liked.

Usher: Too much scandal this year.

Adrian Grenier: He won’t be #1, but he’ll be one of them — I guarantee it.

Hugh Laurie: Oh, I would LOVE THAT! Won’t happen, though.

Now, before going any further, there are a few factors unique to 2007. Here they are:

George Clooney was a second-timer last year. Because of that, this year’s winner will be a new winner.

–No guy had a truly breakout year in 2007.

–Since choices like Harry Hamlin and Mark Harmon are embarrassingly dated by now, it’s obvious People has been trying to choose men who stand the test of time.

Here are my top five predictions:

5) Leonardo DiCaprio. Although this wasn’t a very big year for him in terms of films, he is one of the solid choices who hasn’t won the title yet.

However, he hates frivolous attention like this, and would probably reject the title if it were offered.

4) Justin Timberlake. His music garners hit after hit. He’s in a new relationship with Jessica Biel. He’s currently the most famous celebrity restauranteur in New York. He’s famous; he’s huge; he’s never won. Also, a musician has never won the title.

However, he should have won it last year, when FutureSex/LoveSounds came out, “SexyBack” and “My Love” were #1 hits, and he was the hottest guy, anywhere. Choosing him is a bit tired.
Additionally, there are reports that he acts like an ENTITLED ASSHOLE to people, especially restaurant servers and his own fans.

3) Jake Gyllenhaal is a great overall guy. People love him. He just now began a high-profile relationship with Reese Witherspoon — again, someone everyone loves. Not a big year for him film-wise, but that doesn’t have to matter.

However, it’s such a shock that he didn’t win in 2005 that I think that People has a reason. Namely, the fact that everyone in Hollywood knows that he’s bisexual and just got out of a long-term relationship with a guy. Some stuff could come out of the woodwork, and I think People wants to avoid that.

2) David Beckham. He’s one of the best-looking men in the world, he had a huge year, he just moved to America, and he has a great family. People love Becks. He has no skeletons in his closet. He would be the first non-actor to win the title. He has to be at the top of People’s list.

However, his fame hasn’t caught on in the U.S. as much as his people have hoped.

1) The men of Dancing with the Stars. LOVE ME SOME MAKS! The show is wildly popular, the guys are HOTT, and women all over the rural Midwest (I’m convinced that’s the cornerstone of People‘s readership) would run out and buy that magazine the moment it became available.

However, the honor has never been awarded to a group. Although Maks is the hottest guy, he’s not famous enough to have it all on his own. I think this gives People an opportunity to do something different, since the past few years have been a bit tired.

As much as I’d like it to happen, I know it won’t. Therefore, as far as KatesAdventures.com is concerned, I can proudly say that the men of Dancing with the Stars are the Sexiest Men Alive for 2007.

And David Beckham will probably be People’s Sexiest Man Alive for 2007.

Until then, we’ll have to wait for November 14!

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